June 23, 2026
Mindanao is expected to experience widespread cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms over the next 24 hours as the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat), enhanced by Typhoon Francisco (international name: Mekkhala), continues to affect the southern Philippines, according to the latest weather bulletin issued by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
As of 3:00 p.m. on June 22, Typhoon Francisco was located approximately 535 kilometers east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan, packing maximum sustained winds of 175 kilometers per hour near the center and gusts reaching up to 215 kilometers per hour. The typhoon was moving west-northwestward at 20 kilometers per hour.
While the cyclone remains far north of Mindanao, its influence is strengthening the Southwest Monsoon, resulting in increased moisture and unstable weather conditions across the island.
PAGASA warned that most parts of Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, some of which may become moderate to occasionally heavy. These weather conditions raise the risk of flash floods and landslides, particularly in low-lying, flood-prone, and mountainous areas.
The weather agency advised residents to remain vigilant, especially those living near rivers, creeks, and landslide-prone slopes.
Widespread Rainfall Expected
The forecast covers all regions of Mindanao, including the Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, Caraga Region, and the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM).
In the Zamboanga Peninsula, including Zamboanga City, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, and Isabela City, cloudy skies with rain showers and thunderstorms are expected throughout the forecast period. Temperatures are forecast to range from 23°C to 34°C.
Northern Mindanao provinces such as Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, and Misamis Oriental will likewise experience overcast conditions accompanied by intermittent rainfall and thunderstorms. Temperatures are expected to range from 20°C to 32°C.
The Davao Region, including Davao City, Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao Occidental, and Davao de Oro, is also expected to experience widespread rains and thunderstorms. Temperatures across the region may range between 23°C and 33°C.
In SOCCSKSARGEN, including North Cotabato, South Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, and Sarangani, cloudy skies and recurring thunderstorms are expected, with temperatures ranging from 22°C to 32°C.
The Caraga Region, composed of Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands, is forecast to experience similar weather conditions. Some areas may see temperatures climbing as high as 35°C to 36°C during breaks in rainfall.
Meanwhile, BARMM provinces including Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Lanao del Sur, Maguindanao del Norte, Maguindanao del Sur, and Cotabato City will also remain under cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures are expected to range from 19°C to 32°C.
Sea Conditions Remain Generally Manageable
Despite the widespread rains, sea conditions around Mindanao are expected to remain relatively manageable. PAGASA forecast light to moderate winds coming from the southwest, with slight to moderate coastal waters and wave heights ranging from 0.6 to 2.1 meters.
However, fishermen and operators of small sea vessels are still advised to exercise caution during thunderstorms, which may bring sudden strong winds and rougher sea conditions.
Public Urged to Stay Alert
Authorities are urging local government units, disaster response agencies, and residents to closely monitor weather updates as the enhanced Southwest Monsoon continues to affect Mindanao.
With the possibility of localized flooding, landslides, and reduced visibility during heavy downpours, the public is advised to take necessary precautions, avoid crossing swollen rivers, and remain informed through official PAGASA bulletins and local disaster management offices.
Weather forecasters said conditions may change depending on the movement and intensity of Typhoon Francisco and its continuing interaction with the Southwest Monsoon in the coming days.