Moderate to heavy rains, strong winds expected in Davao Region, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, Sarangani
DAVAO CITY — A Low Pressure Area (LPA) located about 1,000 kilometers east of southeastern Mindanao is continuing to influence weather conditions across large portions of the island, bringing cloudy skies, scattered rains, thunderstorms, and rough seas, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
In its Regional Weather Forecast for Mindanao (MINPRSD) issued at 5:00 a.m. on January 14, 2026, PAGASA said the LPA, estimated at 5.3°N, 134.5°E, is generating a trough that will affect the Davao Region, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, and Sarangani Province within the next 24 hours.
These areas are expected to experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, with the possibility of moderate to at times heavy rainfall that may trigger flash floods and landslides, especially in low-lying and mountainous communities.
Rough Seas, Strong Winds in Eastern Mindanao
PAGASA warned that the eastern section of Mindanao will be particularly affected, as moderate to strong winds from the northeast to north will prevail, generating moderate to rough seas ranging from 2.1 to 3.1 meters.
This will impact coastal areas of Davao Oriental, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Dinagat Islands, Agusan del Norte, and parts of Davao del Norte and Davao de Oro, where sea travel may be risky.
“Small seacraft operators and fisherfolk are advised not to venture out to sea,” PAGASA cautioned, adding that coastal communities should remain alert for possible rough wave conditions.
In contrast, the rest of Mindanao will experience light to moderate winds from the northeast to north, with slight to moderate seas (0.6 to 2.1 meters), but isolated thunderstorms may still occur due to localized weather systems.
Area-by-Area Weather Outlook
Davao Region
The provinces of Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, and Davao Occidental, including Metro Davao, will have cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms throughout the day and night.
- Winds: Moderate to strong (northeast to north)
- Seas (coastal areas): Moderate to rough
- Temperature range: 22°C to 31°C
Caraga Region
Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands will be under cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms due to the LPA trough.
- Winds: Moderate to strong
- Seas: Moderate to rough
- Temperature range: 22°C to 31°C
Residents are urged to be vigilant as these provinces are among the most prone to flooding and landslides during prolonged rains.
Northern Mindanao
Provinces including Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, and Misamis Oriental will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with rainshowers or thunderstorms.
- Winds: Light to moderate
- Seas (coastal areas): Slight to moderate
- Temperature range: 19°C to 30°C
SOCCSKSARGEN
North Cotabato, South Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, and Sarangani are expected to have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with rainshowers or thunderstorms. Sarangani, however, may experience more frequent rains due to its proximity to the LPA trough.
- Winds: Light to moderate
- Seas: Slight to moderate
- Temperature range: 22°C to 31°C
BARMM
Areas under the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM), including Cotabato City, Basilan, Lanao del Sur, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Maguindanao del Norte, and Maguindanao del Sur, will generally experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
- Winds: Light to moderate
- Seas: Slight to moderate
- Temperature range: 22°C to 33°C
Zamboanga Peninsula
Zamboanga City, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, and Isabela City will see partly cloudy to cloudy skies with rainshowers or thunderstorms.
- Winds: Light to moderate
- Seas: Slight to moderate
- Temperature range: 22°C to 32°C
Public Advisory
PAGASA reiterated its warning for possible flash floods and landslides, particularly in areas with moderate to heavy rainfall and steep terrain. Local government units, disaster risk reduction offices, and communities are urged to remain on alert and monitor official advisories.
Travelers, farmers, fisherfolk, and outdoor workers are advised to take precautionary measures as weather conditions may rapidly change, especially in eastern Mindanao.
For further updates, the public may visit bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph or contact PAGASA through its official communication lines.