Mindanao, Philippines – January 15, 2026 — Residents across Eastern and Northern Mindanao are bracing for widespread rains, strong winds, and rough sea conditions as Tropical Depression “ADA” continues to affect large portions of the island, according to the latest Regional Weather Forecast issued by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) – Mindanao (MINPRSD).
As of 3:00 PM on Wednesday, PAGASA reported that the center of Tropical Depression ADA was estimated at 570 kilometers شرق of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur (8.1°N, 131.5°E). The system is packing maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gusts of up to 55 km/h, and is moving west-northwestward at 10 km/h.
Areas Under Direct Influence
PAGASA said TD ADA is currently affecting the Caraga Region, Davao Oriental, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, and Bukidnon, with cloudy skies, frequent rainshowers, and thunderstorms expected to persist until at least Friday morning.
Provinces in Caraga, particularly Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, and Dinagat Islands, are expected to experience moderate to strong winds from the northeast to northwest, accompanied by moderate to rough coastal waters. Some areas, especially Surigao del Norte and Dinagat Islands, may experience rains with gusty winds, increasing the risk of flooding, landslides, and sea travel disruptions.
Davao Region on Alert
In the Davao Region, Davao Oriental is forecast to have cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms, with moderate to strong winds and moderate to rough seas. Coastal communities are advised to be on high alert for possible storm surges and rough wave action.
Meanwhile, Metro Davao, Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao de Oro, and Davao Occidental will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers or thunderstorms, with light to moderate winds and slight to moderate coastal conditions.
Northern Mindanao: Rains and Thunderstorms Continue
In Northern Mindanao, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin are forecast to have cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms, while Lanao del Norte and Misamis Occidental will see partly cloudy to cloudy skies with occasional rainshowers or thunderstorms. Coastal waters in these areas are expected to remain slight to moderate, but sudden squalls and localized rough conditions may occur.
Zamboanga Peninsula: Unstable Weather Persists
Across the Zamboanga Peninsula—including Zamboanga City, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, and Isabela City—weather will remain partly cloudy to cloudy with rainshowers or thunderstorms. Winds will be light to moderate from the northeast to north, with slight to moderate seas.
SOCCSKSARGEN and BARMM: Intermittent Rains, Thunderstorms
Provinces in SOCCSKSARGEN—North Cotabato, South Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, and Sarangani—will continue to experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms. The same weather pattern is expected in BARMM, including Cotabato City, Basilan, Lanao del Sur, Maguindanao del Norte, Maguindanao del Sur, Sulu, and Tawi-Tawi.
While winds in these areas are generally light to moderate, coastal waters may still become slightly to moderately rough, especially during thunderstorms.
Public Advisory and Safety Reminders
PAGASA strongly advises residents in low-lying, flood-prone, and landslide-prone areas to remain vigilant, as moderate to heavy rains may trigger flash floods and landslides, particularly in eastern Mindanao and mountainous areas such as Bukidnon.
Fisherfolk, small sea vessels, and motorbanca operators are cautioned against venturing out to sea, especially in Caraga, Davao Oriental, and nearby coastal areas where moderate to rough seas and gusty winds are expected.
Local government units (LGUs), disaster risk reduction offices, and emergency responders are urged to activate monitoring and preparedness measures, while the public is encouraged to stay updated through official PAGASA bulletins.
PAGASA’s Call
“Tracking the sky… helping the country,” PAGASA reiterated as it continues to closely monitor the movement and development of Tropical Depression ADA. Further updates will be issued as the system progresses.
For more information and weather updates, the public may contact PAGASA at (632) 8922-1992 and (632) 8927-1335 or visit bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph.