January 22, 2026
Mindanao will continue to experience generally cloudy skies, intermittent rains, and hazardous sea conditions as the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) affects large portions of the island, according to the latest regional weather forecast issued by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
As of 3:00 a.m. on Thursday, a Low Pressure Area (LPA)—formerly named “ADA”—was monitored 1,155 kilometers east of southeastern Luzon. While the weather system is far from Mindanao and poses no direct threat, its interaction with the prevailing Amihan continues to influence weather conditions across the region.
CARAGA and Northern Mindanao: Light Rains, No Major Impact
PAGASA said CARAGA Region will experience cloudy skies with light rains, while Northern Mindanao will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains, both attributed to the Northeast Monsoon.
“No significant weather impact is expected in CARAGA and Northern Mindanao,” PAGASA noted, although residents are advised to remain alert for occasional rain showers.
Rest of Mindanao: Localized Thunderstorms Possible
In other parts of Mindanao, including the Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, BARMM, and Zamboanga Peninsula, weather will range from partly cloudy to cloudy, with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms due to localized thunderstorms.
PAGASA warned that severe thunderstorms may trigger flash floods or landslides, especially in low-lying and mountainous areas.
Strong to Gale Winds, Dangerous Seas in Eastern Mindanao
The most critical weather concern remains over eastern Mindanao, where strong to gale-force winds from the northeast are expected. Coastal waters in these areas may become rough to very rough, with wave heights ranging from 2.8 to 4.5 meters.
Meanwhile, the rest of Mindanao will experience moderate to strong northeast to north winds, accompanied by moderate to rough seas measuring 1.2 to 2.5 meters.
Fisherfolk and operators of small sea vessels are strongly advised not to venture out to sea, particularly along the eastern seaboard, including parts of Davao Oriental, Surigao provinces, and Dinagat Islands.
Provincial Outlook Highlights
- Zamboanga Peninsula: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with rainshowers or thunderstorms; moderate to strong winds, moderate to rough seas.
- Northern Mindanao (Bukidnon, Camiguin, Misamis provinces, Lanao del Norte): Similar conditions with cooler nighttime temperatures, especially in upland areas.
- Davao Region: Rainshowers and thunderstorms expected; Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao de Oro, and Davao Oriental may experience strong to gale winds and very rough seas.
- SOCCSKSARGEN: Generally unsettled weather with moderate to strong winds and rough coastal waters.
- CARAGA: Cloudy with frequent rainshowers and thunderstorms; rough to very rough seas persist.
- BARMM: Partly cloudy to cloudy with rainshowers or thunderstorms; coastal areas may experience moderate to rough seas.
Advisory
PAGASA urged local government units and disaster risk reduction offices to remain on alert, particularly in flood- and landslide-prone communities. The public is also encouraged to monitor official weather updates and heed advisories, especially those involving marine travel.
For updates and official bulletins, PAGASA advised the public to visit bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph or contact its regional offices.