Mindanao is expected to experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and localized thunderstorms over the next 24 hours, with the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) warning that severe thunderstorms could trigger flash floods and landslides in vulnerable areas.
The regional weather forecast for Mindanao was issued at 5:00 a.m. on September 7, 2026, and is valid until 5:00 a.m. on September 8.
PAGASA’s Mindanao forecast indicates that the unsettled weather will affect a broad portion of the island, including the Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, Caraga and areas of the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM).
The agency said most areas will experience light to moderate winds from the southwest, while coastal waters will generally be slight to moderate, with wave heights ranging from 0.6 to 2.1 meters.
Widespread thunderstorm threat
The forecast calls for partly cloudy skies becoming cloudy at times, accompanied by rainshowers or thunderstorms across most provinces during both the daytime and nighttime periods.
In the Zamboanga Peninsula, Zamboanga City, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay and Isabela City are all expected to experience similar conditions, with temperatures reaching as high as 35°C in some areas during the day.
Across Northern Mindanao, Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental and Misamis Oriental will likewise see partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. Daytime temperatures are expected to range from the upper 20s to the mid-30s Celsius.
The Davao Region will also remain vulnerable to localized thunderstorms. Metro Davao, Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro and Davao Occidental are forecast to have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with rainshowers or thunderstorms.
SOCCSKSARGEN and Caraga
In SOCCSKSARGEN, North Cotabato, South Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat and Sarangani will experience similar weather conditions.
Sarangani is expected to have moderate southwest winds and moderate coastal conditions, with temperatures between 25°C and 33°C during the day and 25°C and 32°C overnight.
The forecast for Caraga also points to widespread chances of rainshowers and thunderstorms. Agusan del Norte could reach 36°C, while Surigao del Norte is also expected to reach 36°C during the day. Surigao del Sur and Dinagat Islands could reach 35°C.
BARMM areas also under thunderstorm watch
PAGASA likewise forecasts localized rainshowers and thunderstorms across several areas of BARMM, including Cotabato City, Basilan, Lanao del Sur, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Maguindanao del Norte and Maguindanao del Sur.
Temperatures in these areas could reach between 31°C and 34°C during the day, with southwest winds generally light to moderate.
Sulu and Tawi-Tawi are expected to remain partly cloudy to cloudy at times with rainshowers or thunderstorms, while coastal waters are forecast to remain slight to moderate.
Tropical Storm Krovành remains outside PAR
PAGASA also reported Tropical Storm Krovành (2624), formerly known as “Pilandok,” outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility as of 3:00 a.m. on September 7.
The tropical cyclone was located approximately 1,155 kilometers east-northeast of extreme Northern Luzon, near 25.9°N, 131.7°E. It had maximum sustained winds of 65 kilometers per hour near the center, gustiness of up to 80 kph, and was moving eastward at 10 kph.
Based on the regional forecast, the weather conditions affecting Mindanao are characterized by localized thunderstorms, while the tropical cyclone itself remains outside the country’s monitoring area as specified in the bulletin.
Public urged to remain alert
With thunderstorms expected across much of Mindanao, residents in low-lying, flood-prone and landslide-prone communities are advised to remain vigilant, particularly when thunderstorms become severe.
PAGASA specifically warned of the possibility of flash floods and landslides due to severe thunderstorms.
Motorists should exercise caution during sudden heavy downpours because reduced visibility and water accumulation can make roads hazardous. Communities near rivers, streams, steep slopes and other vulnerable areas should also closely monitor local weather developments and heed advisories from local disaster risk reduction and management offices.
For coastal communities and small-craft operators, the forecast of slight to moderate seas means that conditions may remain generally manageable but could become more challenging during thunderstorms and periods of stronger winds.
The regional forecast remains valid from 5:00 a.m. September 7 until 5:00 a.m. September 8, 2026, with PAGASA reminding the public to monitor subsequent weather bulletins for possible changes.