Mindanao, Philippines — January 4, 2026
Cloudy skies accompanied by scattered rains and thunderstorms are expected to affect large parts of Mindanao over the next 24 hours, with the Caraga Region placed under heightened alert due to the possibility of moderate to at times heavy rainfall that may trigger flash floods and landslides, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
In its Regional Weather Forecast for Mindanao (MINPRSD), issued at 5:00 a.m. on Sunday and valid until 5:00 a.m. Monday, PAGASA said the prevailing Easterlies—warm and moist winds coming from the Pacific Ocean—will continue to influence weather conditions across the island.
Caraga Most Affected
The Caraga Region, including Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands, is forecast to experience cloudy skies with frequent rainshowers and thunderstorms throughout the day and night. PAGASA warned that periods of moderate to heavy rains may occur, increasing the risk of flash floods and landslides, especially in low-lying and mountainous areas.
Temperatures in Caraga are expected to range from 21°C to 32°C, with coastal waters remaining slight to moderate under light to moderate northeasterly to northerly winds.
Rest of Mindanao: Isolated Rains, Thunderstorms
Meanwhile, the rest of Mindanao—including Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Davao Region, SOCCSKSARGEN, and the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM)—will generally experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
PAGASA noted that while rainfall in these areas may be localized, severe thunderstorms could still cause brief flooding or landslides, particularly in vulnerable communities.
Daytime temperatures across these regions will range from 19°C to 34°C, with warmer conditions expected in inland and lowland areas such as Maguindanao del Sur, Cotabato City, and parts of SOCCSKSARGEN.
Marine and Wind Conditions
Across Mindanao’s coastal areas, winds will be light to moderate from the northeast to north, resulting in slight to moderate sea conditions with wave heights ranging from 0.6 to 2.5 meters. PAGASA advised small fishing boats and other small seacraft to exercise caution, particularly during thunderstorms.
Public Advisory
PAGASA urged residents, local government units, and disaster risk reduction offices—especially in Caraga—to remain vigilant, monitor weather updates, and take precautionary measures against flooding and landslides. Motorists and travelers are also advised to be cautious during heavy downpours and reduced visibility caused by thunderstorms.
For further updates and official advisories, the public is encouraged to monitor PAGASA bulletins through bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph or contact PAGASA-Mindanao offices directly.