Residents across Mindanao are advised to brace for generally cloudy conditions with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms, as easterly winds continue to influence the region, according to the latest advisory from Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
In its Regional Weather Forecast for the Mindanao – MINPRSD, issued at 5:00 a.m. on February 15, 2026, PAGASA said the weather outlook is valid until 5:00 a.m. tomorrow.
Eastern and Southern Mindanao Most Affected
PAGASA reported that Davao Oriental, Davao Occidental, Sarangani, Basilan, Sulu, and Tawi-Tawi will experience mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms due to prevailing easterlies.
Moderate to occasionally heavy rainfall is expected in these areas, raising the risk of flash floods and landslides, particularly in low-lying and mountainous communities.
Meanwhile, the rest of Mindanao will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. However, severe thunderstorms may still trigger localized flooding and landslides.
Winds and Sea Conditions
Across Mindanao, winds will remain light to moderate, coming from the east to northeast. Coastal waters are expected to be slight to moderate, with wave heights ranging from 0.6 to 2.1 meters.
Fisherfolk and small vessel operators are advised to exercise caution, especially during periods of thunderstorms and rough seas.
Provincial Weather Outlook
Based on PAGASA’s forecast, most provinces will experience similar weather patterns throughout the day and into the night:
- Zamboanga Peninsula (Zamboanga City, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, and Isabela City) will see partly cloudy to cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms, with temperatures ranging from 22°C to 35°C.
- Northern Mindanao (Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, and Misamis Oriental) will have intermittent rains and thunderstorms, with temperatures between 19°C and 32°C.
- Davao Region (Metro Davao, Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, and Davao Occidental) is expected to experience cloudy skies with frequent rainshowers and thunderstorms, with temperatures reaching up to 34°C.
- SOCCSKSARGEN (North Cotabato, South Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, and Sarangani) will also be affected by unstable weather, with temperatures ranging from 19°C to 34°C.
- Caraga Region (Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands) will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms, and temperatures between 21°C and 32°C.
- BARMM Areas (Cotabato City, Basilan, Lanao del Sur, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Maguindanao del Norte, and Maguindanao del Sur) will continue to have cloudy skies with frequent rainshowers and thunderstorms, with temperatures ranging from 20°C to 35°C.
Public Advisory
PAGASA urged local government units, disaster response teams, and residents to remain vigilant, especially in flood-prone and landslide-prone areas.
Motorists are also advised to take extra precautions on wet and slippery roads, while farmers and fisherfolk are encouraged to monitor weather updates to protect crops, livestock, and fishing activities.
For the latest weather advisories and updates, the public is encouraged to regularly check PAGASA’s official platforms and announcements.