GENERAL SANTOS CITY, Philippines — Several parts of Mindanao are expected to experience cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms on Thursday, November 12, as easterlies continue to influence weather conditions across the island, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
In its regional weather forecast issued at 5:00 a.m. on November 12 through the Mindanao Regional Services Division (MINPRSD), PAGASA said Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Davao Region, and SOCCSKSARGEN will experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms throughout the forecast period, which runs from 5:00 a.m. Thursday until 5:00 a.m. Friday, November 13.
The weather agency warned that moderate to at times heavy rainfall could trigger flash floods or landslides, particularly in communities vulnerable to flooding, areas near rivers and waterways, and locations with unstable slopes.
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Meanwhile, the rest of Mindanao, including the Zamboanga Peninsula and the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM), is expected to have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. PAGASA cautioned that severe thunderstorms in these areas could also result in flash floods or landslides.
Rain and thunderstorms expected across major regions
In Northern Mindanao, cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms are forecast in Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, and Misamis Oriental. Bukidnon will have temperatures ranging from 19°C to 29°C, while the other provinces are expected to experience temperatures generally between 24°C and 30°C.
Across the Caraga Region, the same cloudy conditions with rainshowers and thunderstorms are expected in Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands.
Surigao del Norte is forecast to have temperatures of 24°C to 28°C, while Surigao del Sur will experience cooler conditions of 22°C to 28°C. Agusan del Norte is expected to have temperatures of 23°C to 31°C, Agusan del Sur 23°C to 30°C, and Dinagat Islands 24°C to 30°C.
In the Davao Region, Metro Davao, Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao de Oro, and Davao Occidental will also experience cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures across the region are expected to range from 22°C to 31°C, with Davao de Oro forecast to have the lowest minimum temperature at 22°C and Metro Davao and Davao del Norte reaching highs of 31°C.
SOCCSKSARGEN will likewise experience cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms. North Cotabato is forecast to have temperatures of 24°C to 30°C, South Cotabato 23°C to 31°C, Sultan Kudarat 24°C to 31°C, and Sarangani 24°C to 30°C.
Zamboanga Peninsula and BARMM to experience isolated rainshowers
Unlike the eastern and central portions of Mindanao, the Zamboanga Peninsula is expected to experience partly cloudy to at times cloudy skies, with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
Zamboanga City, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, and Isabela City are forecast to have minimum temperatures of 24°C to 25°C and maximum temperatures reaching 30°C to 31°C.
In BARMM, similar weather conditions are expected in Cotabato City, Basilan, Lanao del Sur, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Maguindanao del Norte, and Maguindanao del Sur.
Maguindanao del Sur is forecast to record the highest maximum temperature among the listed BARMM areas at 32°C, while Lanao del Sur is expected to have temperatures ranging from 23°C to 29°C.
Despite the generally less widespread rainfall forecast for these areas, PAGASA emphasized that severe thunderstorms could still produce heavy downpours capable of causing flash floods and landslides.
Light to moderate winds, generally slight to moderate seas
PAGASA also forecast light to moderate winds coming from the east to northeast across Mindanao during the forecast period.
Coastal waters are expected to remain slight to moderate, with wave heights ranging from 0.6 to 2.5 meters. These conditions may still require caution among small fishing boats and other vessels, particularly during periods of thunderstorms and locally worsening weather.
Residents in coastal communities and those engaged in fishing and other maritime activities are advised to monitor weather developments and observe appropriate safety precautions.
Communities urged to prepare for possible flooding and landslides
With scattered rains and thunderstorms expected across several major regions, residents are encouraged to remain alert, especially those living in flood-prone communities, low-lying areas, riverbanks, and landslide-susceptible locations.
Local disaster risk reduction and management offices are also encouraged to monitor rainfall conditions and remain prepared to respond to possible flooding, landslides, and other weather-related emergencies.
PAGASA advises the public to monitor official weather bulletins and local government announcements for updated information, particularly when thunderstorms develop or rainfall becomes persistent.