COTABATO CITY – A Low Pressure Area (LPA) continues to influence the weather across Mindanao, bringing cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms over Caraga and Northern Mindanao, prompting state weather forecasters to warn residents of possible flash floods and landslides due to moderate to at times heavy rainfall.
According to the Regional Weather Forecast issued by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)-Mindanao Regional Services Division (MINPRSD) at 5:00 a.m. on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, the weather advisory remains valid until 5:00 a.m. on Thursday, July 30.
PAGASA said the Low Pressure Area (LPA) will continue to enhance rainfall over Caraga Region and Northern Mindanao, resulting in widespread cloudiness accompanied by intermittent rainshowers and thunderstorms throughout the forecast period.
Authorities warned that prolonged and intense rainfall may trigger flash floods in low-lying and flood-prone communities, as well as landslides in mountainous and landslide-prone areas, particularly where soils remain saturated from previous rains.
The weather bureau urged residents and local disaster risk reduction offices to closely monitor weather advisories and prepare for possible weather-related emergencies.
Caraga and Northern Mindanao under highest rainfall threat
The provinces expected to receive the most significant rainfall include:
- Agusan del Norte
- Agusan del Sur
- Surigao del Norte
- Surigao del Sur
- Dinagat Islands
- Bukidnon
- Camiguin
- Lanao del Norte
- Misamis Occidental
- Misamis Oriental
These areas will experience cloudy skies with rainshowers and thunderstorms throughout the day, with temperatures generally ranging between 20°C and 32°C, depending on location.
Coastal provinces in the affected regions are also expected to experience light to moderate winds blowing from the northeast to northwest, with slight to moderate sea conditions and wave heights ranging from 0.6 to 1.8 meters, making conditions generally safe for small vessels but requiring continued caution during thunderstorms.
Rest of Mindanao to experience isolated thunderstorms
While the LPA mainly affects northern Mindanao, the rest of the island is expected to experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers and localized thunderstorms.
Affected areas include:
Zamboanga Peninsula
- Zamboanga City
- Zamboanga del Norte
- Zamboanga del Sur
- Zamboanga Sibugay
- Isabela City
Davao Region
- Davao de Oro
- Davao del Norte
- Davao del Sur
- Davao Oriental
- Davao Occidental
- Metro Davao
SOCCSKSARGEN
- North Cotabato
- South Cotabato
- Sultan Kudarat
- Sarangani
Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM)
- Basilan
- Sulu
- Tawi-Tawi
- Lanao del Sur
- Maguindanao del Norte
- Maguindanao del Sur
- Cotabato City
Although these areas are not expected to receive continuous rainfall, PAGASA warned that localized thunderstorms may still produce sudden heavy downpours capable of causing flash floods and landslides, particularly in vulnerable communities.
Daytime temperatures across southern and western Mindanao are expected to range between 22°C and 33°C, with warm and humid conditions prevailing during periods of sunshine before thunderstorms develop.
Sea conditions remain generally favorable
Across Mindanao’s coastal waters, light to moderate winds from the northeast to northwest will prevail, generating slight to moderate seas with wave heights of 0.6 to 1.8 meters.
While marine conditions remain generally favorable for fishing boats and small sea vessels, PAGASA advised mariners to exercise extra caution whenever thunderstorms develop, as these may generate sudden strong winds, rough seas, and reduced visibility.
Public advised to stay vigilant
PAGASA reminded residents that thunderstorms can rapidly intensify and produce lightning, strong wind gusts, and heavy rainfall over short periods.
The weather bureau advised the public to remain updated through official weather bulletins and heed instructions from local government units and disaster response agencies, especially in areas vulnerable to flooding, landslides, and overflowing rivers.
With the LPA continuing to affect northern portions of Mindanao, authorities are closely monitoring rainfall conditions as communities prepare for possible weather-related hazards over the next 24 hours.