Mindanao will continue to experience generally cloudy weather with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, as the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) continues to influence the region, according to the latest regional weather forecast from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Mindanao Regional Services Division (MINPRSD).
The forecast, adjusted to begin at 5:00 AM on October 7 and remain valid until 5:00 AM on October 8, indicates that rain showers and thunderstorms may affect various parts of Mindanao throughout the day and into the evening.
PAGASA warned that moderate to at times heavy rains may trigger flash floods and landslides, particularly in areas vulnerable to flooding, steep slopes and other rain-induced hazards.
Residents in affected communities are advised to remain alert, especially during periods of persistent or intense rainfall. Local disaster risk reduction and management offices are also expected to monitor areas prone to flooding and landslides.
Zamboanga Peninsula
Zamboanga City and the provinces of Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur and Zamboanga Sibugay are forecast to have cloudy skies with rain showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures are expected to range from 23°C to 32°C, depending on the locality and time of day. Winds will generally be light to moderate, coming from the southwest to northwest, while coastal waters are expected to remain slight to moderate.
Isabela City is forecast to experience similar conditions, with temperatures ranging from 24°C to 32°C.
Northern Mindanao
Cloudy skies with rain showers and thunderstorms are also expected across Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental and Misamis Oriental.
Bukidnon may experience temperatures between 20°C and 30°C, while Camiguin may range from 25°C to 33°C.
Lanao del Norte is forecast to record temperatures of 25°C to 32°C, while Misamis Occidental may experience 25°C to 32°C. Misamis Oriental is expected to have temperatures between 25°C and 32°C.
Winds across the region will generally be light to moderate, mostly from the southwest to northwest, with slight to moderate coastal conditions in areas covered by the marine forecast.
Davao Region
The entire Davao Region is likewise expected to remain under cloudy conditions with rain showers and thunderstorms.
Metro Davao may experience temperatures between 25°C and 32°C, while Davao del Norte and Davao del Sur may reach maximum temperatures of about 33°C.
Davao Oriental is forecast to have temperatures ranging from 25°C to 33°C, while Davao de Oro may experience 24°C to 32°C. Davao Occidental is expected to record temperatures from 24°C to 32°C.
Light to moderate winds from the southwest to northwest are expected, with slight to moderate seas along coastal areas.
SOCCSKSARGEN
Cloudy skies with rain showers and thunderstorms are also forecast over North Cotabato, South Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat and Sarangani.
North Cotabato may experience temperatures between 23°C and 30°C, while South Cotabato and Sultan Kudarat are forecast at 23°C to 30°C.
Sarangani may experience temperatures ranging from 24°C to 32°C.
Residents, particularly those in low-lying and flood-prone areas, are urged to monitor local weather and emergency advisories as thunderstorms could produce sudden heavy rainfall.
Caraga Region
Rain showers and thunderstorms are expected across Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur and Dinagat Islands.
Agusan del Norte is forecast to have temperatures between 25°C and 33°C, while Agusan del Sur could experience some of the warmer conditions in the region, with temperatures ranging from 24°C to 34°C.
Surigao del Norte may record 25°C to 32°C, while Surigao del Sur may experience 24°C to 33°C. Dinagat Islands is forecast at 25°C to 32°C.
Coastal waters are generally expected to be slight to moderate, with light to moderate winds from the southwest to northwest.
BARMM
Cloudy skies with rain showers and thunderstorms are likewise expected across the Bangsamoro region, including Cotabato City, Basilan, Lanao del Sur, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Maguindanao del Norte and Maguindanao del Sur.
Cotabato City is forecast to experience temperatures of 23°C to 30°C, while Basilan may range from 23°C to 31°C.
Lanao del Sur is expected to have the coolest conditions in BARMM, with temperatures ranging from 23°C to 29°C.
Sulu and Tawi-Tawi may experience temperatures between 25°C and 32°C, while Maguindanao del Norte and Maguindanao del Sur are forecast to range from 25°C to 31°C.
Flood and landslide threat remains
With the ITCZ maintaining its influence over Mindanao, PAGASA’s forecast indicates that rainfall could become moderate to heavy at times.
The possibility of flash floods and landslides remains the primary weather-related concern, particularly in communities near rivers, waterways, low-lying areas and landslide-prone slopes.
Motorists are also advised to exercise caution during heavy downpours because reduced visibility and wet or slippery roads can make travel hazardous.
The forecast covers the period from 5:00 AM Wednesday, October 7, until 5:00 AM Thursday, October 8, 2026, based on the PAGASA MINPRSD regional weather forecast.