Mindanao is expected to experience generally partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms from Tuesday morning until early Wednesday, according to the latest regional weather forecast issued by the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).
In its advisory released at 5:00 a.m. on February 10, 2026, PAGASA said the prevailing weather condition across Mindanao is being influenced by localized thunderstorms, which may trigger sudden heavy downpours in some areas. Residents are warned of possible flash floods and landslides, especially in low-lying and mountainous communities, during periods of intense rainfall.
Strong Winds, Rough Seas in Eastern Mindanao
PAGASA reported that moderate to strong winds coming from the northeast will affect the eastern sections of Mindanao, including parts of Davao Oriental and the Caraga Region. These areas may experience moderate to rough sea conditions, with wave heights ranging from 1.2 to 3.4 meters.
Fisherfolk and small sea vessel operators in these coastal areas are advised to take precautionary measures and avoid venturing out to sea when conditions become hazardous.
Zamboanga Peninsula: Scattered Rains, Warm Temperatures
In Zamboanga City and the provinces of Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Zamboanga Sibugay, and Isabela City, weather conditions will remain partly cloudy to cloudy with occasional rain showers or thunderstorms.
Temperatures in the region are expected to range from 22°C to 33°C, with light to moderate winds and generally slight to moderate coastal waters.
Northern Mindanao: Cooler Mornings, Possible Thunderstorms
Northern Mindanao, including Bukidnon, Camiguin, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, and Misamis Oriental, will also experience similar weather patterns.
Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms are expected, while temperatures may drop to as low as 19°C in higher areas of Bukidnon and reach up to 32°C in lowland provinces.
Davao Region: Isolated Rains, Rough Seas in Davao Oriental
Metro Davao, Davao del Norte, Davao del Sur, Davao de Oro, and Davao Occidental will experience intermittent cloudiness and occasional thunderstorms.
Temperatures in the region may range from 22°C to 33°C. Winds will generally be light to moderate, except in Davao Oriental, where moderate to strong northeast winds may result in moderate to rough seas.
SOCCSKSARGEN: Generally Fair but Unstable Weather
In North Cotabato, South Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat, and Sarangani, partly cloudy to cloudy skies will prevail, with possible afternoon or evening thunderstorms.
Daytime temperatures may reach up to 33°C, while sea conditions along coastal areas will remain slight to moderate.
Caraga Region: Strong Winds in Coastal Areas
The provinces of Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands will also experience scattered rains and thunderstorms.
Surigao provinces and Dinagat Islands are expected to face moderate to strong northeast winds, resulting in moderate to rough seas. Temperatures in Caraga may range from 22°C to 31°C.
BARMM: Partly Cloudy Skies, Isolated Downpours
The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM), including Cotabato City, Basilan, Lanao del Sur, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Maguindanao del Norte, and Maguindanao del Sur, will experience generally fair weather punctuated by isolated rain showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures in the region may range from 22°C to 33°C, with light to moderate winds and mostly slight to moderate coastal waters.
Public Advised to Stay Alert
PAGASA reminded the public to remain vigilant, particularly in areas prone to flooding and landslides. Motorists are advised to exercise caution during heavy rains, while residents in coastal and mountainous areas are urged to monitor weather updates and heed advisories from local authorities.
The weather bureau also encouraged the public to stay informed through official PAGASA channels and local disaster risk reduction offices, especially as localized thunderstorms may develop rapidly and bring sudden adverse weather conditions.